Timeless Markets.Org
Trader Profile · Modern Market Wizard

Lance Breitstein

Prop trader · ex-Trillium top trader · $100M+ verified profits

A proprietary trader who rose from pool-maintenance kid to the highest single-year P&L in his firm's history — then stepped back at the top to teach the craft, all of it for free.21

Prop TradingExpected ValueRisk EngineeringTrading Psychology
Lance Breitstein portrait
LB
Lance Breitstein
"TheOneLanceB"

1 The Story

From pool boy to the top of the desk — and then out, on his own terms

Before he ever placed a trade, Lance Breitstein did pool maintenance to build a "war chest" — enough runway to give trading a real shot.5 He joined the prop firm Trillium as a rookie and, by his own account, nearly washed out: it took almost two years to turn profitable, and he was close to quitting.7

He didn't. He turned the corner, climbed the firm's annual rankings, and eventually became Trillium's top trader — setting the record for the highest single-year P&L in the firm's history, while building and running its Chicago office and training dozens of traders to success.2 Across back-to-back eight-figure years he booked over $100 million in verified profits, including a single trade of roughly $10 million buying the Nikkei into the August 2024 panic — and a humbling $2 million loss in under an hour when he let a P&L goal dictate his size.8

In 2022 he left Trillium and stepped back from full-time trading — not because the trading failed, but because more millions wouldn't change his life, and his health and time would. "I'm done trading my health for wealth" became his refrain.2 He now trades selectively, mentors seven- and eight-figure traders, and shares everything free on his channel. He is profiled in Market Wizards: The Next Generation by Jack Schwager and George Coyle — the same volume that features his peer Kristjan Qullamaggie.1

2 The Big Idea

Everything is expected value

Trade where edge is highest, size to your edge, and survive long enough for it to compound.

Breitstein frames every decision — what to trade, when to add, where to stop, how big to bet — as a question of expected value: probability of winning times the average win, minus probability of losing times the average loss. You don't need a high win rate; you need positive EV and the discipline to bet biggest when your edge is biggest. It's a universal idea — it governs trading in equities, futures, options, or crypto alike — even though he learned it on a U.S. equities desk.9

3 The Method & Signature Concepts

A small set of repeatable ideas

Much of his teaching distills into a handful of original framings — each a practical rule of thumb that applies far beyond stocks.4

The "broken slot machine" (in-play stocks)

Only trade the few instruments that are genuinely in play — active on a news catalyst, a major technical pattern, or outsized volatility. Most opportunities live in a tiny subset of names; the rest is noise.

A/B/C/D grading + exponential sizing

Grade each setup A through D, then bet with skew: most profit comes from the rare A+ trades, so "swing the bat hardest" when edge is extreme rather than betting uniformly — his trade grading & exponential sizing.

The Bobblehead concept

Judge each day by whether you grew your expected value, not your P&L. Red days with good process are wins; green days with bad process are warnings — the heart of his process-over-outcome mindset.

The daily report card

One process goal at a time, graded by time blocks, shared with a trading pod — a deliberate-practice habit he credits with taking him from top-10 to #1, associated with Dr. Brett Steenbarger and SMB Capital. (See the daily report card.)

✔️

The "right side of the V"

Stop catching falling knives. Wait for a move to exhaust and the turn to confirm, then enter the counter-trend — risking less and sizing more — his right side of the V.

Risk first: loss limits & the barbell

A hard daily loss limit, a written drawdown protocol, and a "barbell" of conservative personal finances against a high-risk career. "Survival first" — you can't compound if you're out of the game (see the barbell method).

4 Try It Today

Test the idea for yourself

A no-risk exercise

Pull your last 20 trades and grade each one A, B, C, or D on setup quality — judged before the outcome. Now compare your position size on each. Did you bet biggest on the A's and smallest on the D's? Most traders find the opposite: they sized up on mediocre trades they got emotional about. That gap between where your edge was and where your size was is, in Breitstein's framing, exactly where your expected value leaks away.

5 In Their Words

Lance Breitstein, quoted

"It took me almost two years to become profitable, and I was so close to leaving the job. The only thing that kept me with it was my powerful why."
— "The 3 Traits That Separate Successful Traders"10
"You can be right, but still wrong in markets if you don't have risk management and timing."
— "5 Times I Nearly Quit Trading"7
"Your career will not end because you didn't make enough money… Control your downside, stay in the game long enough while working hard to improve, and the P&L will take care of itself."
— "15 Years of Trading Risk Management in 20 Minutes"5

6 Where His Ideas Live

No book to sell — a free, public archive

Market Wizards: The Next Generation

Jack Schwager & George Coyle · 2025
  • An audited modern record. Selection required submitting his Trillium and personal brokerage records for an independent track-record review (10-year minimum, "exceptional" performance) — the substantiation behind the $100M figure.1
  • Psychology over setups. By his account, the interviews focused far more on motivation and decision-making than on any single trade — the through-line of every market wizard.1

"TheOneLanceB" — the free channel

Lance Breitstein · ongoing
  • The three "15-year" masterclasses. His year-by-year timelines on technical development, risk management, and psychology together form a complete curriculum.456
  • Teach, don't prey. He posts free on YouTube and X because, as he puts it, he makes his money trading — the same ethos as his peers.3

7 Watch & Read

Go deeper

§ Sources

  1. Jack Schwager & George Coyle — Market Wizards: The Next Generation (2025); selection/track-record audit as described by Breitstein in "3 Trading Lessons Market Wizards Know That You Don't" (YouTube: VwMkhCzcpjU).
  2. Independent corroboration of the Trillium career, single-year P&L record, and Chicago office: TraderLion profile; StatsEdge feature; Trillium Trading's own interview.
  3. Lance Breitstein — YouTube channel "TheOneLanceB" (the full video archive these claims are drawn from).
  4. "15 Years of Trading Advice in 15 Minutes That Made Me $100M" (YouTube: 27cXk34t1gI) — career/technical timeline.
  5. "15 Years of Trading Risk Management in 20 Minutes" (YouTube: gb7nNveNBjg).
  6. "15 Years of Trading Psychology in 13 Minutes" (YouTube: hBKjhqCes-I).
  7. "5 Times I Nearly Quit Trading" (YouTube: 3GnU70gQWus) — the near-quit, Allergan/CAR losses, the "right but wrong" lesson.
  8. "How I Made $10 Million in ONE Trade" (YouTube: JlkOv61DgiE) and "How I Lost Over $2 Million in 30 Minutes of Trading" (YouTube: 5wxNwS-FtZQ).
  9. "The First Step in Every Winning Trade (How to Find Expected Value)" (YouTube: F-ZktuFvk0E).
  10. "The 3 Traits That Separate Successful Traders" (YouTube: ppBeFX_YXvo).

Biographical and method detail is synthesized from Breitstein's own public videos (cited above) and corroborated where possible by independent sources; the "$100M+ verified" and "Trillium top trader" claims are supported by the Market Wizards selection audit and the independent features in source 2. His framing is equities-first; the underlying principles (expected value, sizing, risk, psychology) apply across all markets.